The European Union, in a clear desire for energy transition and industrial sovereignty, is deploying the Net-Zero Industry Act (NZIA), an ambitious initiative adopted in June 2024 as part of the Green Deal Industrial Plan. This text aims to strengthen the production of clean technologies in Europe, while responding to the American dynamics of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). The objectives of the NZIA are clear: to meet 40% of European needs in clean technologies by 2030 and to represent 15% of global production by 2040. Priorities include key sectors such as hydrogen, solar photovoltaics and carbon capture technologies. This initiative is part of an industrial competitiveness strategy, while accelerating the energy transition and reducing carbon emissions. To facilitate this transformation, the NZIA introduces a simplified procedure for the approval of industrial projects related to Net-Zero technologies. The timeframes are considerably reduced: 12 months for projects under 1 GW and 18 months for those exceeding this capacity. An ambitious national strategy: the French solar pact France, for its part, is actively investing in the development of its solar capacities. Between 2020 and 2024, solar installations increased from 2 GW to 3.3 GW, but the country is still far from the government’s target of 6 GW per year. To achieve this target, the solar pact provides for a stronger mobilization of public and private resources. As early as 2025, ESG (Environment, Social, Governance) criteria will be introduced in public procurement, with an incentive bonus for projects using solar panels manufactured in Europe. A strategic tax credit launched in March 2024 is expected to generate €23 billion in direct investment and create 40,000 jobs in the French photovoltaic sector. Greening public procurement From 2025, public contracts exceeding €25 million will have to meet strict requirements: no product originating from more than 50% of third countries will be able to be integrated. This measure aims to reduce dependence on foreign imports, while stimulating local production. However, the current low European production capacity could pose challenges. Strengthening the competitiveness of local manufacturers and accelerating industrial production of solar panels will be priorities to avoid a supply disruption. Financial challenges Although the NZIA encourages private investment and mobilizes existing public funds, project financing remains a major challenge. Current European resources, such as the Horizon Europe program or the Just Transition Mechanism, appear insufficient compared to the massive amounts invested by the United States via the IRA. However, a possible dismantling of the IRA under a new US administration could open a window of opportunity for Europe, allowing it to strengthen its capacities in a redefined international context. Building energy sovereignty European actors in the solar industry are organizing themselves to meet these challenges. Their commitments include the promotion of a solar panel performance index called InduScore, the signing of long-term contracts to secure the supply and deployment of at least 30% InduScore certified panels by 2025. However, China’s dominance of the global photovoltaic market remains a major obstacle. China’s industrial capacity, which far exceeds European needs, continues to pose a significant challenge to European energy sovereignty. Conclusion: Ambitions to be realized The Net-Zero Industry Act and the French Solar Pact are key levers to enable Europe to meet its climate and energy targets. However, several challenges remain to be overcome: securing sustainable financing, reducing dependence on imports and accelerating local production. The success of these initiatives will require close coordination between European institutions, national governments and private actors. In France, the Solar Pact offers a unique opportunity to position the country as a European leader in solar energy. To achieve this, these challenges will have to be met with an ambitious vision, a stable regulatory framework and adequate financial resources. Chronicle by Benoit Frayer
Céline ANTONIN, Nadia ANTONIN, Les crypto-actifs , Ed Economica, January 2025,167 pages
In recent years, the world of payments has seen a number of major technological innovations, the latest of which are crypto-assets. From the famous bitcoin to stablecoins, these new assets arouse both enthusiasm and fear. What are their nature and intrinsic value? Is money invested in crypto-assets as safe as in a bank? Are crypto-assets monitored and regulated? But the impact of crypto-assets doesn’t stop there. Indeed, they have also given rise to a new model of finance, decentralized finance (DeFi). What are the specifics of this intermediary-free finance? How are central banks reacting to this new “currency war” between official currencies and private digital currencies? What tools are they developing to defend their sovereignty? Through a clear and accessible analysis, the authors answer and demystify these hotly debated questions. Definitions, players, services, innovation benefits, micro- and macro-economic and financial risks, and regulations are discussed, leading to the conclusion that the future lies in the development of central bank digital currencies, since “crypto-assets should not be the currency of tomorrow. This conclusion is based on two elements. The first concerns the competition between public and private money, which was favored by Friedrich von Hayek. However, one of the attributes of money put forward since the 1980s is that of trust, based on a social contract. The second point concerns the idea that monetary policy is impotent. The success of Mario Draghi’s “Whatever it takes” policy in July 2012, on the one hand, and the responsibility, albeit partial, of central banks in controlling inflation, on the other, invalidate this idea: monetary policy remains relevant to “reassure” economies, investments and citizens! This would be impossible with an anonymous, disembodied monetary system. This book is extremely educational, using simple words that don’t “drown” the reader in technical or regulatory legalese. Nevertheless, it contains everything an “enlightened” citizen needs to know to find his or her way in this world of innovation, which is already affecting everyone in terms of payments, insurance services or real estate matters. This book is aimed not only at banking, finance and insurance professionals, as well as lawyers, but is also an essential resource for students at business and engineering schools, political studies institutes and universities. Last but not least, it is intended for all those who wish to understand the crypto-asset ecosystem, so as to use it without being subjected to it. But within an operating framework that is marked out so as not to harm the common good. A must-read! Column written by Dominique Chesneau
EOCHE-DUVAL Christophe. Normative Inflation, PLON, 224 pages
For several years, Christophe EOCHE-DUVAL has made overproduction of legislation his hobbyhorse and in this book, he offers an objective inventory of the normative apparatus. This is in order to enlighten the reader and to make them aware of the impacts of this overproduction on the functioning of our country. First of all, the author focuses on factually demonstrating this overabundance of standards. To measure this, he relies on the number of pages of the “Official Journal” and on the annual report “Statistics of the norm” of the General Secretariat of the Government established since 2019. From the latter, we can note the number of “Légifrance” words registered in the “Official Journal” as well as in all the standards (laws, ordinances, decrees, orders, etc.). The findings are clear: with more than 400,000 standards already in force, the number of “Légifrance” words has more than doubled in 20 years, reaching more than 46 million in 2024. Also, over the years, the State publishes fewer texts but they are getting longer and longer. In order to understand this inflation, the author presents the sources. International standards, including those of the UN and its satellites, are the primary providers of standards. Each bill has been ratified by the French Parliament since 1958, although this is not mandatory. Then come the European standards that automatically enter into force in national law. Other strata are added to the previous ones, such as prefectural and municipal by-laws, the exact number of which seems impossible to know. Once the inventory is complete, the author seeks to measure the impacts and notes that these standards often paralyze the productive apparatus in all sectors of activity. To make it more noticeable, he tries to estimate the cost. The various analyses seem to converge towards a figure of 3.7% of GDP, or about 60 billion per year. Beyond the cost aspect, these overlapping standards that have accumulated since the beginning of the Fifth Republic at the mercy of the various heads of state, makes it difficult to know which version is in force at the time this document is being written. The State, itself caught in this vice, ends up circumventing the rules in order to speed up the machine that produces the standards. In recent years, the triggering of Article 49.3 or the publication of ordinances, allowing the executive to pass laws in place of Parliament, are examples. The author dedicates a chapter to two accelerators of normative inflation: the finance and Social Security financing laws. These laws, based on government texts, must be validated in a limited time; not allowing sufficient parliamentary time. Another effect of this normative inflation is exposed in the chapter “Legiscracy against democracy”, since only 4% of French people are able to understand the texts and laws. Despite this terrible observation where the state and politicians seem to be caught and struggle to get out of this straitjacket, the author proposes pragmatic solutions which, he hopes, can be raised during the debates of the next presidential election in 2027. He insists on legislating less and focusing on applying existing laws by lowering the normative pace, thus freeing up parliamentary time. He also advocates transparency on the costs of implementing laws to better assess their relevance. This book has a pedagogical virtue for any reader in search of a better understanding of our legislative arsenal. Christophe EOCHE-DUVAL is a senior civil servant and state advisor.
Christian de Boissieu, Marc Schwartz, The New Currency War, Eds Odile Jacob, 285 pages.
The introduction of Lydian coinage around 600 BC marked a major turning point in economic trade. Thanks to Croesus and the electrum of the Pactole River, currency became a universal tool facilitating trade and contributing to the prosperity of civilizations. Greeks and Romans adopted this system, which is the basis of modern economy. Then, over the centuries, this currency will undergo two metamorphoses that will lead to its dematerialization. Paper money, bills of exchange, was created at the end of the 10th century in Song Dynasty China, then democratized during the Crusades and by the first Italian bankers, creating the first international payment networks. With the rise of bank accounts in the 20th century, the last transformation of money was complete: money became a mere entry in a ledger. Currency in all its forms meets three fundamental characteristics. It is a unit of account, an instrument of exchange and a store of value. A fourth characteristic can be added: it constitutes a political and social symbol and creates a sense of belonging to a community. So what about crypto-assets, the ultimate symbol of dematerialization, going so far as to suppress central banks and the trust that goes with it? The authors, in a very educational and documented way, present these different dreams of anti-state “currency”, but also stable coins and the new digital currencies of central banks and the fierce competition between all these assets. But whether “fiat” or digital, two currencies stand out as the two main reserve currencies, the US dollar and the euro. But there is an asymmetry in favor of the dollar, which remains the privileged currency of international trade and which benefits from the famous extraterritoriality. Therefore, a “de-dollarization” is trying to be put in place with the use of new financial instruments promoted by the BRICS as well as massive purchases of gold to bypass the dollar. What future for this dedollarization, what influences on globalization, the weight of the Yuan, what limits? For Ch. De Boissieu and M. Schwartz, the most likely hypothesis is that we will move towards an economic and financial triad in which the euro and yuan will gain credibility but where the dollar will continue to be the preferred currency. Finally, the authors focus on the development of a qualitative theory of money, which is necessary, among other things, but above all, for the financing of the energy transition. Because these very long-term financings with a rather uncertain profitability, which, moreover, arrive in a context of high public and private indebtedness, will require a paradigm shift with savers favoring the quality of the asset over its quantity. With this approach, currency will not be reduced to its exchange rate, but it will have to embody a social political role associated with this quality. Christian de Boissieu is Professor Emeritus at Paris Panthéon Sorbonne, Vice-President of the Cercle des Economistes. Marc Schwartz is CEO of Monnaie de Paris, and Senior Advisor at the Court of Auditors. note by Ph Alezard
Céline ANTONIN and Nadia ANTONIN, CRYPTO-ASSETS. A Threat to the Monetary and Financial Order, Economica, 167 pages. Foreword by Philippe AGHION
Philippe AGHION describes this publication as a “reference book for understanding the issues and threats of crypto-assets…”. The book has twofold originality: – that of a duo of authors (which is not the most common in the field…), a duo of economists whose talent is well established, – but also, a parental duo, uniting mother and daughter around the crossed gazes of two generations that are both complementary and have different research and operational experiences. This is one of the great riches and merits of this shared work. Thus, structured answers are proposed to the many questions that professionals and non-initiates ask themselves about the “ecosystem of crypto-assets”. Clearly emerging as one of the major technological innovations in the world of payments, these crypto-assets are wrongly qualified as “currency” (they only very partially fulfill the three main functions of a currency: instrument of exchange, unit of account, store of value), but they have given birth to a new model of finance, “decentralized finance” (Defi). They seem de facto, as the authors point out, to open: “a ‘new currency war’ between official currencies and private digital currencies, a perspective that cannot leave Central Banks indifferent: ‘it is a change of monetary and financial paradigm’”. The authors strive to make this transparent by developing four main questions: – The genesis of crypto-assets and the blockchain – decentralized finance and crypto-assets, – the currency war in the digital age, and – the analysis of the threats to financial stability of these digital developments. At a time when the new President of the United States is initiating a spectacular “pro-crypto” turnaround, this publication, which is illustrated by analyses accessible to a wide audience, will undoubtedly appear to be a decisive contribution to the understanding of this sensitive subject, the risks of which remain largely underestimated. Céline Antonin, economist at L’OFCE, Professor at Sciences Po, associate researcher at the Labo of the Collège de France. Nadia Antonin, economist, honorary executive of the Banque de France, member of the Academy of Commercial Sciences, author of numerous articles on cryptos. Note by Jean Louis CHAMBON
The container ecosystem in the face of trade deglobalization
On April 26, 1956, Malcolm McLuhan, a service station manager, loaded the first commercial container in the port of Newark. This container revolutionized the transport of goods by interoperable routes, whether by sea and river, air, rail and road. This basic building block of industrial logistics has made it possible to build a supply chain that has been deployed on a global scale. This system has caused a real “creative destruction” in the various logistics trades (dockers, crane operators, carriers, traders, etc.), but also in shipbuilding, aeronautics and the automotive industry, as well as in civil engineering (roads, quays and docks). This vast redeployment was driven by the search for economies of scale, productivity gains, standardisation of transported products, a drastic reduction in transport costs and better security of exchanges. These advances, combined with lower customs duties, have made it possible to globalise and intensify trade between continents, countries and regions. Container flows have fluctuated in line with economic growth rates and free trade agreements. They have prospered despite criticism denouncing job losses, shipwrecks and road accidents, as well as water and air pollution. This universal logistics network was partially disconnected during the Covid period and it risks being redeployed and partially disabled by the slowdown in trade that will result from the increase in customs duties decided by the new US presidency. This return to protectionism will probably reactivate industrial projects and social movements in favor of local transport modes, the revival of river navigation, multimodal rail-road transport, bulk distribution, the relocation of production and the organization of production on a just-in-time and zero-stock basis, and in general, the shortening of the supply chain… The logistics of tomorrow are conditioned by the results of the (perhaps ephemeral) American experiment of “deglobalization” of world trade, but the current logistics infrastructures, based on the container ecosystem, should persist by adapting to the specific needs and constraints of transport and storage of industrial and commercial activities. The question is therefore perhaps less to think about the logistics that “we want for tomorrow”, than about the logistics that are still “possible for tomorrow”. Note by Jean-Jacques Pluchart
Bruna Basini et Pierre-Henri de Menthon, Tout et son contraire, Ed Buchet Chastel, mars 2025, 360 pages.
Economists clash violently as they try to decipher, model and propose remedies for the current whirlwind. Everything and its opposite can be found in the “solutions” they propose. The war that divides them is fought in MIT, Harvard, Oxford, Bocconi, the Paris School of Economics, the Toulouse School of Economics, think tanks, international financial institutions and the media. Nobel Prize winners, heads of the IMF, the World Bank, the Fed and the ECB, academics from all over the world and thinkers from all walks of life are all involved. The authors review their major economic debates: inequality, debt, inflation, China, crypto-currencies, the Vatican (!), democracy, libertarians…focusing on their conflicting theses, their analytical errors and inaccuracies. They also draw up portraits of the main protagonists in these face-offs – D. Cohen, T. Piketty, O. Blanchard, M. Aglietta, J. Stiglitz, L. Summers, J. Milei, P. Aghion, D. Acemoglu – and their masters of thought, from Keynes to Schumpeter… and conclude with a chapter on “the tribes”: institutionalists, Keynesians, libertarians, free traders, Malthusians, Marxists, monetarists and Schumpeterians. A lively, enlightening investigation into the ideas of the men and women who make or break today’s economy, written in the style of experienced journalists that makes this book easy to read. An excellent work, whose title is a true reflection of the book and of the authors’ desire to show that economics is not an “exact science”, that no science tells us what to do. The erudition in terms of economic history is notable, and the points of view are set out clearly without bias, with an organization linked to topical themes in a long-term perspective. The end of each chapter includes a summary of ideas and, in some cases, the beginnings of the author’s opinion. Oppositions are sometimes linked to ideological or philosophical presuppositions, but this is not surprising when one recalls the history of this subject. We might have expected the debates to have been placed more in the context of time, showing that economists are often better at explaining the past than predicting the future, and that what is true under certain conditions is no longer true when those conditions change. The nature of a “human” science is that the truths of one moment are not always valid in different temporal and geographical fields of study. Homo economicus may once have behaved rationally, but this is no longer the case, for many reasons, including those aimed at exploiting the cognitive biases of each individual, those linked to filtered, alternative, epistemic facts, sifted through the sieve of feeling, emotion and fear. In these matters too, the 21st century is not the 18th century…! But, as André Comte-Sponville points out in his foreword, if “no knowledge can take the place of will, no will can do without knowledge”. chronicle by Dominique Chesneau
Arnaud ORAIN, Le monde confisqué (The Confiscated World), Flammarion, January 2025, 368 pages.
After having invested in Europe as a reference shareholder in many ports, China has a naval base in Djibouti. The Americans are not to be outdone. Pierre Razoux, academic director of the Mediterranean Foundation of Strategic Studies, recently stated in Les Echos: “Each of the protagonists places their stones as in a game of go.” He adds: “These pawns are sometimes very far from the national territory and their interest is not obvious in times of peace and free navigation without tolls, but if you do not understand right away, in the end you will understand.” Arnaux Orain did not wait for the end of the game that takes place every day before our eyes, he understood: neoliberalism is over! However, this is nothing new; already in the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries and then between 1880 and 1945, the world was seen as finite. Finitude explains that the maritime powers were all driven by a desire for hoarding and predation (hence colonial expansion and warehouse trade). Since 2010, we have entered a new phase where it is not only states that act through a naval hegemony but also “company-states” like Elon Musk’s. The book is dense, erudite and historical references spring up throughout the text. The reader may sometimes get lost in this profusion where historical figures and economic models alternate (the author also claims a methodological ambition which “consists in blurring the lines between intellectual history, economic history and contemporary economy”). In the end, everything becomes clear, capitalism of finitude is when we can state the slogan: There will not be enough for everyone! This brilliant essay invites us not to underestimate behaviors that could cast doubt on the rationality of certain leaders. They are perfectly rational. It is under the pressure of Donald Trump that Panama announces its withdrawal from the new Silk Roads, and it is no coincidence that the Houthis attacked 134 ships in twelve months with an arsenal provided by Iran or China. Arnaud Orain is a specialist in economic history and political economy. He is Director of Studies at the EHSS. His work focuses on economic dynamics and their historical implications. Alain Brunet’note
Alain Trannoy and Arundhati Virmani, Economists and Historians – A dialogue of the deaf?, Odile Jacob, February 2025, 304 pages.
The essential question of whether economics is a science will not be resolved with this book, even if in the time of the physiocrats political economy allowed itself to claim this status. The 17 contributors, economists and historians, encouraged by the Fondation des Treilles (a site ‘at the end of the world’ created by Anne Gruner-Schlumberger) succeed in introducing us to a field where history and economics combine, with interactions that would make us doubt the exclusive rank of human sciences to which they are associated, if only because they are true ‘ogresses’: they both aspire to ‘envelop the entire social field’. The book is divided into 6 parts which illustrate their points of convergence (to the point of experiencing a mutual attraction), but also the paths that separate them (to better appropriate each other’s data). This is what leads Samuelson to say that the study of economic history is the raw material from which the economist can test any of his hypotheses. The most surprising aspect, when the reader delves into the different themes of the book, is the implementation of extremely sophisticated methods and tools in data processing (such as digitized relational databases) to deal with subjects as diverse as Masonic membership and therefore the evolution of the lines of force in the society of the Ancien régime, or statistical approaches intended to distinguish the different forms of causality, a notion that was believed to be reserved for the hard sciences, as Pierre Livet states. The various chapters also address the analysis of colonialism (which is not just a zero-sum game) and the network organization of universities in medieval and modern Europe. These themes constitute anchor points for the epistemological development of economic science. Alain Trannoy is Director of Studies at the EHESS and Professor at the Aix-Marseille School of Economics, specializing in public economics and taxation, and Arundhati Virmani is a teacher-researcher at the EHESS, specializing in colonial and contemporary history of India. Alain Brunet’s note
How to reindustrialize France
Column by Jean-Jacques Pluchart After 40 years of de-industrialization, the subject of “reindustrialization” has been making a comeback in public discourse, since 2009. Several initiatives have been taken by successive governments: the States General of Industry, the Gallois report on industrial competitiveness, France Relance, France 2030. The Lluansi Report In November 2023, the Ministry of Economy commissioned Olivier Lluansi, former interministerial delegate for Industrial Territories, to carry out a mission on the re-industrialization of France by 2035. His conclusions have not ultimately be made public, but they have been presented in a book analyzed by the Turgot Club (see clubturgot.com). The report reveals that France is one of the most de-industrialized countries in Europe and ranks among the lowest one in the European Union, ahead of Greece. The 10% share of GDP covered by industry has stagnated at 10% since 2009 and can only reach 12-13% by 2035. France would ensure at least a balanced trade balance on manufactured goods. To stem the €60 billion annual deficit, he advocates the creation of 60,000 industrial jobs per year, three times the 20,000 industrial jobs created per year in recent years. He notes that “50% of people trained in industrial trades will do something else”. According to the report, the industrial recovery presupposes a patriotic leap and a more massive recourse to public order. The “Made in France” is an under-exploited lever; it could bring in €15 billion more per year, or 25% of the trade deficit in manufactured goods. The report also recommends not to concentrate resources on breakthrough innovations and gigafactories, which represent only 20 to 30% of the re-industrialization potential, when SMEs and mid-caps make up two-thirds. This industrial fabric in the heart of medium-sized cities needs public support to regenerate. Re-industrialization also implies to reduc the depenedence of French supply chains and freeing up land, while remaining Climate Law compliant, which sets a target of zero net artificialization by 2050. The White paper “Everyone can make French industry shine” The Les Influstriels collective, which aims to promote the attractiveness of the French industry, published a White paper in December 2024 entitled “Everyone can make French industry shine”. It reveals that “83% of French people have considered it to be in decline for several years”. The authors question why the industry suffers from such a negative image. They note that France has many startups and SMEs engaged in new technologies and sustainable economies – including decarbonization – but that they lack public and private funding. However, since the green industry law, the French can participate in the ecological transition and rei-ndustrialization in various ways: life insurance, a Pension scheme (PER), private equity funds… In September 2024, Bpifrance launched the BE3 private equity fund, the 4th product of its retail range, accessible to the French from €500. In 2024, the government also launched the “turnkey sites-France 2030” system, selecting 55 industrial sites from around a hundred applicants. This system allows project leaders to access land in the short term, and allows developers and local authorities to enhance the value of the labelled sites. According to the Minister of Ecological Transition and Territorial Cohesion, the number of applications received from local authorities, private companies and various organizations, reflect an advance in reindustrialization. “France 2030 turnkey” sites have been created to accelerate the installation of factories. These sites will be decontaminated, equiped with access roads, connected to utility networks and will benefit from accelerated administrative procedures. With this concept, the government wants in particular to reduce the duration of industrial installations from 17 months on average to 9 months. The sites were chosen according to 5 criteria: economic attractiveness – location, accessibility, transport axes, employment area, differentiating ecosystem; limited environmental impact – land sobriety and rehabilitation of brownfield sites; site maturity – potential by 2030; relevance of the project to be integrated into the territory; land control of the site. The France Foncier+ portal already lists more than 600 sites available or in the process of being made available. The redevelopment of brownfield sites has become one of the priorities and land recycling appears to be a key measure, which falls within the context of the law on green industry. The 55 sites are spread over the entire territory, but if all the regions are represented, there are 1 to 8 sites per region, the best endowed being the PACA region, with 8 sites, followed by Normandy (7); Occitania and Île-de-France (6 each). The size of the chosen sites is very variable, since there are projects of 3 ha as well as 340 ha, the challenge being to give oneself the “means to attract all projects, from the industrial SME to the gigafactory.” [1] Olivier Lluansi, “Réindustrialiser, le défi d’une génération”, éditions La Déviation, 2024.