Since his book entitled Global Inequalities, Branko Milanovic has asserted himself as one of the champions of the fight against socio-economic inequalities. He deepens the reflection initiated by Fukuyama on “the end of history”, by trying to show that capitalism now reigns supreme in Europe, the United States and Asia (in an authoritarian form). The capitalist system presents the same three principles in these three areas: production dictated by profit, a mostly salaried workforce, and private capital with rather decentralized governance. However, it distinguishes two forms of capitalism: liberal and meritocratic, authoritarian and state-run. He shows that the spread of capitalism has contributed to raising the average standard of living, but also to widening inequalities, as the share of capital in global income has increased by 4 to 5% at the expense of labor, both in rich and poor countries. The author also analyzes the evolution of forms of work and predicts a development of remote work, and therefore, a decline in population migration. He finally wonders about the alternatives to the current capitalism, concluding that they can only be worse. Notes by Jean-Jacques Pluchart
CAPITAL AND IDEOLOGY, Editions du Seuil, 2019, 1024 pages
In his latest monumental book, Thomas Piketty continues his reflection on social inequalities on a global scale, trying to show, contrary to popular belief, that they are not natural but are generated by “conservative ideologies and discourses”. According to him, the legitimacy of these inequalities throughout history is based on simulacra of objectification. He denounces in particular the “proprietary ideology” based on the right of ownership inherited from the French Revolution, which is supposed to guarantee the stability of institutions and avoid “generalized chaos”. He perceives in individual property a “particular form of social domination”. He formulates proposals aimed at eradicating the concentration of wealth and promoting “the circulation of capital”: confiscatory tax on capital of up to 90% of income; universal endowment of capital to each citizen… Opening up a 3rd way between capitalism and collectivism, he finally advocates a development of co-management of companies between shareholders and employees. Thomas Piketty’s previous book (“Capital in the 21st Century”) had been criticized by economists for its methods and sometimes questionable statistical sources. This latest book meets the skepticism of political economists for its sometimes questionable scientific ethics, because the author “is careful not to measure the economic and social consequences of “going beyond private property”. The book raises various questions about the reasons for its success. Is it a provocation to neo-liberal economists? Does it call for the advent of a new crypto-collectivist system? Is it trying to launch a new movement of “French theory” on American campuses? Is it a new encyclopedic curiosity? review by J-J.Pluchart
ANTI-PIKETTY. LONG LIVE CAPITAL IN THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY, Jean-Philippe Delsol, Nicolas Lecaussin and Emmanuel Martin (coord.), Librechange Editions, 2015, 380 pages.
A bestseller in economic literature, Thomas Piketty’s book Capital in the 21st Century (sold nearly 2.5 million copies) attempts to demonstrate the fundamental inequality that generates a return on capital higher than the growth rate of the economy (r> g), but it has been the subject of much criticism. French liberal economists – such as Alain Madelin, Henri Lepage and Nicolas Baverez – have challenged the assumptions, reasoning, figures and graphs presented by the author. The collective led by Nicolas Lecaussin and Jean-Philippe Delsol – which includes twenty economists, historians and tax experts, including Daron Acemoglu, Martin Feldstein and James A. Robinson – argues that Thomas Piketty’s thesis is more political than economic. The authors claim that economic and social inequalities have not exploded, but rather have been reduced in several areas (including education and health). They consider that “the rich do not eat the bread of the poor”, but that they give it to them, taking risks and creating millions of jobs. Wealth cannot indefinitely grow faster than economic growth, and excessive taxation does not solve problems but rather exacerbates them. According to the authors, Thomas Piketty’s data seem to be used for essentially ideological purposes. The collective proposes “a reasoned and reasonable argument” opposed to the ideology qualified as “Marxist essence” by Thomas Piketty, by opposing academic criticism and contradictory facts. They recall the main scientific criticisms against “Pikettymania” and denounce its simplistic and populist theses. Jean-Philippe Delsol is a director of the Association for Economic Freedom and Social Progress (ALEPS). Nicolas Lecaussin is the Director of Development at the Institute for Economic and Fiscal Research (IREF).
CAPITAL IN THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY, Éditions du Seuil, 2013.
The author observes, like Tocqueville, an increasingly unequal distribution of income from capital and labor. His thesis is based on the hypothesis of a return on capital (consisting of natural resources, infrastructure and public and private facilities, net of debt) always higher than the economic growth rate (covering in particular changes in wages), since the beginning of history, except during periods of war and economic depression (as in the 1930s). The unequal relationship between rentiers and workers should, according to him, grow rapidly in the twenty-first century. This structural inequality (denoted r> g) between the return on capital (including the “top 1%” in the income scale) and the return on labor is a potential source of social conflict and threat to modern capitalism. This gap is mainly explained by the rapid increase in savings of the wealthiest households. Thomas Piketty advocates the introduction of a more progressive tax and the establishment of a new global tax on capital. The publication of Thomas Piketty’s latest book has had a global impact. It was considered by some Anglo-Saxon economists as a turning point in economic thought. This thesis has sparked mixed reactions in all Western countries. The author was notably accused of revisiting the Marxist approach to the “class struggle between bourgeois and proletarians.” The work of Thomas Piketty has been the subject of much criticism of an ideological and methodological nature, summarized in the following book, reviewed by the Turgot Club.
Christine KERDELLANT, Ces milliardaires plus forts que les Etats, L’observatoire, 2024, 284 pages.
This book seems surreal, but it is not unrealistic. Doesn’t its subject matter cover an ultimate dream? That of an absolute freedom of action, without conditions or pressure, of an education centered on creativity and imagination stimulated on all types of screens (television, platforms, apps, etc.), of a development of projects illustrating the most unusual passions without great competition, of fortunes exceeding the GDP of several Western countries thanks to tax optimizations in all legality, of a power defying the States, of a disruptive model of a new world at the antipodes of the current world order. In a concise and lively style, Christine Kerdellant engages in an audit of the futuristic visions of a handful of influencers who are both billionaires and Americans. Their actions could undermine the very foundations of capitalism. Their common denominator: their vision as a vector of social change with an extra-planetary scope. Opportunities for humanity or threats to democracy? Their power does not only come from the immensity of their fortune, but for some, from their high-tech activities in a monopolistic situation, and for others, from their dissemination of sensitive data to a fraction of humanity. For the author, this poses a problem of ethics and responsibility of the States. In her book, she arouses the reader’s curiosity in order to warn about the absence of limits and controls of these projects, resulting in a takeover of more than a third of satellites impacting military strategies, the deployment of implants on humans in a medical setting, the exploitation of billions of data for political purposes… These science fiction-passionate dreamers are not far from supplanting the State which, in their opinion, is content to tax them excessively. Is state control pure fiction? Is the Chinese pattern, where the state takes control of the activities of billionaires, more appropriate? Could the European model, where the state regulates by heavily taxing large fortunes, be an alternative? Doesn’t American capitalism, which includes the notion of economic freedom, reflect the American dream that offers the opportunity to prosper in complete freedom? Ideally, in all types of models, there should be safeguards (“wise men”). With a governmental support, the “billionaires stronger than the states” therefore continue to live their American dream. Christine KERDELLANT is an essayist and economic journalist. She studied economics at the University of Caen and joined HEC. Alongside her career as a journalist, she has written more than fifteen essays and novels. Chronicle by Pona SAMNIK
Rudiger L. von Arnim & Joseph E. Stiglitz (dir.), The great Polarization. How Ideas, Power and Policies Drive Inequality. Colombia University Press, 2022.
This collective work brought together 22 of the most recognized American and French teachers and researchers on the subject of economic and social inequalities in the world. In the first part, the authors show their adherence to the thesis of Polyani (author of the bestseller “The Great Transformation”), according to which “the market economy is insufficiently anchored in society”. They question certain principles of the neo-liberal economy, in particular by challenging Friedman’s “trickle-down” theory, according to which market efficiency creates value for all actors in society. They denounce the silence of neo-liberals, inspired by the theories of Friedman and Hayek, on the often hidden negative externalities in the more or less long term, which are generated by the absence of market regulation. They express the views currently shared by post-Keynesian democrats in response to the ultra-liberal measures taken under the new US presidency. They take up the arguments initiated by Stiglitz, Milosevic and Piketty* by extending them to all forms of inequality, be they economic, social, political or cultural. They identify the issues, trends and synergies, showing that these arguments have been developed – with varying degrees of success – by left-wing populist movements in Western countries. One of the interests of the book is therefore that it reveals the strengths but also the weaknesses of the reasoning developed by the American left parties. The second part, entitled “The New Light on the Facts”, highlights the 40-year decline of the labor market in favor of the capital market, and the decline in wages in favor of dividends and capital gains, due to a double movement of globalization of markets for goods and services (unfavorable to workers because of industrial relocations) and financialization of the world economy (favorable to large fortunes). The exponential growth in executive compensation (driven by increasingly sophisticated engineering combining salaries, bonuses, stock options, executive pensions, etc.) was stimulated by the soaring stock market (due to an increasingly “short-term” management) and real estate prices (fueled by unbridled money creation), which benefited the wealthiest assets. In the third part, entitled “Policy Issues. Labor Markets, Education, Taxation, and Intellectual Property”, the researchers identify the political decisions and regulatory provisions that have directly affected the distribution of income and wealth in the United States, including those that have led to a stagnation of wages over the past 30 years, despite an increase in productivity in industry and services. The authors analyze the impact of the action of teachers’ unions on school results and find that this de-unionization has penalized teachers and students from disadvantaged neighborhoods and their access to employment. On another note, the authors argue that industrial and intellectual property rights, as well as certain employment aids, create near-monopoly situations and real rents (especially in the finance, health and digital sectors), which benefit the dominant shareholders of companies, who constitute half of American billionaires. During the 2007-2010 crisis, public funds allocated to banks and insurers thus mainly benefited the richest 1%. In the fourth part, devoted to “political contexts and future prospects”, the researchers analyze the evolution of discourse on income inequality. They observe that these perceptions vary from one country to another because of their socio-cultural disparities. In some countries, such as France, discourses on the “social divide” may have encouraged various forms of discrimination without generating more social justice. The latest surveys show that the rising cost of higher education is making the debt of children from the most modest families increasingly unbearable and is depriving the nation of talent. The authors advocate the establishment of a federal employment guarantee upon graduation and baby-trusts to finance education at the lowest cost. Rudiger L. von Arnim is a professor of economics at the University of Utah and Joseph E. Stiglitz is a professor at Columbia University and a Nobel Prize winner in economics. * see other columns on this blog. note by Jean-Jacques Pluchart
What is the status of the application of Basel IV standards?
Donald Trump, who has been in power for several weeks, is well on his way to pursuing deregulation of the financial sector. With the European banking sector already losing ground to US banks, the gap is likely to widen as the EU implements Basel 4 standards in 2025. These standards were published by the Basel Committee in December 2017 and transposed at European level through the Capital Requirement Regulations 3 (CRR3) and the Capital Requirements Directive 6 (CRD6). CRR3 poses serious constraints for European banks by increasing capital requirements and risk-weighted assets. Through this standard, the Basel Committee also aims for international harmonization among banks. European banks, which are fond of internal models that consume less equity, will replace them with standard models used by their American counterparts. Among the constraints of the new credit risk regulation is the notion of “Output Floor”. This aims to reduce excessive variability in institutions’ own funds requirements calculated using internal models. It should improve the comparability of institutions’ capital ratios, restore the credibility of internal models and ensure a level playing field between institutions. In practice, the weighted assets calculated by banks on the basis of their internal models may not, in total, be less than 72,5% of the weighted assets calculated using standard approaches. Thus, the benefit a bank can derive from using its own models is limited to 27.5% of the weighted assets calculated using standard approaches. The Directive will be implemented on a transitional basis until 2030 to avoid sudden increases in capital requirements associated with certain asset classes. Another novelty in CRR3 is the consideration of the crypto-asset market. The European Union had already taken the matter into its own hands with the introduction of a uniform legal framework in the form of the MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets) regulation adopted in May 2023. After several years of rapid growth in crypto-asset markets driven by a growing number of investors, CRR3 has decided to integrate crypto-assets into the banking prudential framework. Since Donald Trump’s election, the price of bitcoin has soared. The 47th president of the United States recently indicated his intention to establish a strategic Federal Reserve of Bitcoin. He sees it as a way to strengthen the U.S. economy in the face of growing competition from China. Financial institutions are thus exposed to increasing risks that can affect financial stability: mainly credit risk, but also counterparty, market and liquidity risk. The standards therefore aim to regulate and limit the risks associated with these exposures. The European Union, as always in good shape, is therefore continuing to implement the banking package. CRR3 has even planned an assessment of the overall situation of the banking system in the EU by 31/12/2028. Meanwhile, our neighbors are charting their way down less regulated paths…In the UK, the entire Basel III reform has been postponed until 2026. In the United States, plans were put on hold following the resignation in early January of Michael Barr, Vice Chairman of the US Federal Reserve Board responsible for banking supervision. Donald Trump now has a free hand to choose a successor closer to his ideas. Column by Sophie Friot
PARRIQUE T, Ralentir ou périr, Eds Seuil, 311 pages.
The book’s subtitle is: the economics of degrowth. This sets the tone for the entire book. For the author, economic growth only benefits the richest: one only has to look at the persistence of the number of poor people. Inequalities are creating significant gaps for the poorest. Moreover, the wealthy are the source of the most pollution. A sentence from the author sums up his point: “degrowth, as a reduction in production and consumption to alleviate the ecological footprint, planned democratically in a spirit of social justice and in the interest of well-being” Is GDP the only important thing? It is neither more nor less than an “economic agitation” that does not take into account other factors such as human well-being or happiness. Well-being is not necessarily linked to changes in GDP. We must escape this “tyranny” of GDP. Currently, the race to improve labor productivity in order to increase growth is a goal that we must constantly try to achieve, at the expense of the environmental damage to ecosystems. Does economic growth reduce inequality? This is not accurate. It all depends on the distribution of this growth between wages and capital income. What do the proponents of degrowth propose? A shift towards sustainable degrowth, which would lead to a harmonious society. It means slowing down economic flows and turning to more sober and frugal lifestyles. The state should be the driver of this process, together with the representatives of the people. The goal would be to respect social justice by providing well-being, while respecting the balance of ecosystems. Any productivity gains would be oriented towards the well-being of workers: for example, by reducing working time. Suffice to say, this theory of degrowth generates a lot of criticism about its realism and how to achieve it. Indeed, what would happen to a country that adopted this new way of life, in a globalized environment? Wouldn’t it risk being marginalized, with disastrous consequences for its economic situation: capital flight and economic balances disrupted? It is up to each individual to form their own opinion after reading this well-documented and clear book. Timothée Parrique is a researcher in ecological economics at Lund University in Sweden. review by Renzo Borsato
FARAH Frédéric, No Frexit, What young people think of Europe. Eds Fayard, 154 pages.
The author approaches the European subject by probing the opinions of his high school and college students. The surveyed students were from Seine-Saint-Denis, the 5th arrondissement of Paris, and Tolbiac. Are young people passionate about the European project? Do they feel more European than French? Do they know the European institutions? Bagnolet high school students They are mostly from immigrant backgrounds and live in difficult family circumstances (some parents are unemployed). They note that Europe may be a market offering opportunities. Given its presence in the media world, the ECB is perceived as a monetary regulation institution. However, the other European institutions are less well known: the Parliament, the Commission, the Council. The Schengen area is highlighted for the convenience of traveling in Europe. It should be noted that all they have known is the euro, which facilitates trade. The Erasmus program makes them aware of their belonging to Europe. Preparatory students (Paris 5th and 16th arrondissement) Although they are of different sociological origins (more affluent social background), they adhere to the idea of a Europe that facilitates trade between its members. Tolbiac students Their approach is a little different: they know better the various workings of the institution. Like their prep colleagues, they recognize the importance of the role played by the European Central Bank (ECB). They also note the importance of collective action during the financial crises and the COVID-19 pandemic. In conclusion, no group of students mentioned the idea of a “Frexit”. It should first be noted that students see the practical side of Europe because of the existence of the Erasmus program: it is a way to open up to other horizons and other cultures. It was created in 1987. These young people were born after the creation of Europe and the euro: it would not occur to them to question it. Even the far-right political parties have abandoned this idea, which they had fiercely defended a few years earlier. One particular point brings negative remarks: the social aspect. Indeed, because of the commercial competition between members, employees earning minimum wage may find themselves unemployed. Some industries are relocated to countries with lower wages. This book brings us closer to the concerns of these young people: we must listen to them and enlighten them on the path of Europe: they are the ones who will be the actors of the next European advances. Frédéric FARAH is a professor of economic and social sciences, a teacher in preparatory classes and at the University of Paris 1 Panthéon Sorbonne. Chronicle by Renzo Borsato.
QUAND LA MACHINE APPREND, Editions Odile Jacob, 2021, 394 pages
This atypical book presents three levels of reading. The life story of a young French engineer with a passion for algorithms who will meet other enthusiasts, go into exile in the United States, work in the largest American laboratories, teach at the University of New York, win the Turing Prize, be considered the father of neural networks or “deep learning” and finally lead the fundamental research of Facebook. But mathematicians and computer scientists will also be able to discover or deepen, through examples of codes and equations, the functioning of these machines which can acquire by themselves the experience and the capacities to accomplish tasks which are assigned to them. Finally, AI users will be interested in its latest developments, but also in its excesses (especially Cambridge Analytica) or its algorithmic biases. Yann Le Cun delivers his vision on the economic, social, societal and ethical impacts of AI, as well as on the future progress of this still young science whose powers of transformation of our society are considerable. Philippe Alezard’s note