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    Mathilde VIENNOT, La planification écologique, La découverte (repères), 126 pages.

    publications

    The French planning of the Glorious Thirty, initiated by Jean Monnet, has given way to a new form of more global and sustainable planning: “ecological planning”, which focuses on the objectives to be achieved and the resources to be implemented in order to ensure energy, ecological, economic and social transitions, by 2030 and 2050. The author shows the diversity of devices to be mobilized, conventions, laws, decrees and standards to be defined in order to establish a “frugal, carbon-free, circular and sustainable economy”. The ecological, economic, and social issues are intertwined and most of the constraints – especially sectoral and territorial – often provoke contradictory reactions from the many social actors involved. This is why the author believes that the transition involves a “democratic renewal”, especially in France. Mathilde Viennot compares the different modes of planning throughout history: Soviet-style authoritarian, French-style indicative, incentive-based in the context of the New Deal, etc. She analyzes the scope and especially the limits of the conventional parameters that underlie economic projections (discount rate, GDP, debt, etc.). She highlights the difficulty of arbitrating between market regulation and the regulation of production and consumption. She believes that ecological planning is based primarily on more sobriety in the ways of housing, moving, and feeding. She compares the different estimates of the necessary over-investments (in 360 and 416 billion euros per year in Europe by 2030) and analyzes the necessary financial arrangements, then deduces that the Union and the European States will have to be at the same time “treasurers, compensators, architects, co-investors, and collectors”.The author demonstrates an exceptional sense of analysis and synthesis on one of the most complex and essential contemporary issues. Mathilde Viennot (ENS, PhD in Economics from EHESS) is a member of France Stratégie. Jean-Jacques Pluchart

    September 17, 2025 / 0 Comments
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    Geoffrey BERTRAND, La Diplomatie Disruptive. Redéfinir les règles du Jeu International, eds GB, 2025, 186 pages.

    publications

    The book is in the form of a lecture on diplomatic negotiation aimed at overcoming the conventional approaches in use in all embassies. The author apparently delivers his (overly) rich experience of diplomacy in order to “decode the paradigms” that underlie international relations, to deduce that the “disruptive diplomacy” initiated by Donald Trump constitutes an irreversible “diplomatic revolution”. The latter is based on “the Art of Calculated Unpredictability”, which exploits uncertainty as a strategic lever, and “orchestrates new unexpected diplomatic pivots”. The approach, accompanied by direct language and a sometimes brutal style, aims to “reorient the negotiation” by breaking its formal framework and to give priority to efficiency over the maintenance of established positions and respect for principles. It favors bilateral relations over multilateral exchanges, inter-state dialogues over international forums. It also involves “the conquest of the information space” (including messages in the press and social networks, before, during, and after the diplomatic agenda. However, it must be applied “intelligently” and must be adapted to the cultural context of each negotiation, in order to avoid the authors being discredited. The author proposes that France adopt the “Trumpian strategy” without delay in order to preserve its diplomatic heritage and maintain its influence in the world. This advice is all the more risky as the long-term benefits of the “Trumpian method” have not yet been demonstrated, which has already resulted in the reform of the “Global South” bloc of countries. The legendary caution of diplomats invites us to seek a compromise between the conventional protocol and the new disruptive method.Geoffrey Bertrand is apparently a pseudonym that masks the identity of a diplomat or consultant, a journalist or a trainer in geopolitics and/or negotiation techniques… unless it covers a clever simulation designed by an AI algorithm that would have passed the Turing test. Jean-Jacques Pluchart

    September 17, 2025 / 0 Comments
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    Nicolas TENZER, Fin de la politique des grandes puissances,  Eds L’Observatoire.

    publications

    Nicolas Tenzer’s latest book delivers a useful lesson in international diplomacy after the upheavals caused by the wars in Ukraine and Israel, as well as by the MAGA movement in the United States. These phenomena have disrupted the international order established at the end of the Second World War and have made relations between the blocs more unlikely. The author strives to map nation-states according to their balance of power. He logically ranks the United States and China among the global powers, but he considers them to be losing momentum. He describes Russia and the former colonizing countries such as France, the United Kingdom, Spain, and Italy as trans-regional powers (he does not clearly state the status of Germany and Japan). He estimates that a dozen states, such as Turkey (whose politics are studied at length), Mexico, Brazil, Indonesia, and South Africa, have an intermediate power status. Other states do not have sufficient critical mass to influence other states, such as the Baltic countries and the countries of Eastern Europe, but the author believes that they could play an increasingly decisive role in the future in the concert of nations.Nicolas Tenzer holds up Ukraine as an example of a “heroic state” defending democratic principles, and is outraged by the falsehoods uttered against it by Russia. He recognizes that its aggression has helped to unite most of the member countries of the European Union. He believes that a Ukrainian victory should help to pacify international relations, restore democratic values, and “dismantle the mental apparatus” of Russia based on falsehoods. He calls for the construction of a new model of relations based no longer on force but on democratic values of responsibility and truth.The book reflects the universality of the author’s knowledge and the depth of his analyses. It is served by a creative and educational style. Reading it will contribute to a better understanding of the new balance between nations. Nicolas Tenzer (Normale sup, Sciences po, ENA) was a teacher at Sciences po and the Paris School of International Affairs. He was a member of the cabinet of the Minister of Economy and Finance (1987-1988), rapporteur at the Court of Auditors (1991-1993), head of department at the General Commissariat of the Plan (1994-2002), and responsible for an interministerial mission on international expertise (2007-2008). He is the founding president of the Center for Study and Reflection for Political Action (CERAP), J-J.Pluchart

    September 10, 2025 / 0 Comments
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    Joel Té-Léssia ASSOKO, Enterrer Sankara. Essai sur les économies africaines, Eds Riveneuve, 2025, 151 pages. Préface de Pierre Haski.

    Afrique

    J T-L. Assoko’s book does not meet the selection criteria of the Turgot club, neither in substance nor in form. In a style worthy of Gongora, he engages in a radical critique of the policies pursued by certain African states, mainly French-speaking. But his observations and proposals respond to questions shared by the majority of young Africans. As the title of his book suggests, the author denounces certain ideologies and practices applied (the “leaps into the absurd”) by many African countries, taking as an example Burkina Faso chaired by Thomas Sankara, whose policy was aligned with that of North Korea.But the interest of the book lies mainly in the analysis of the economic handicaps of the former French colonies (united in the CFA Franc zone), whose economic growth since the 1960s would have been generally lower than that of the former countries of East Africa and South Africa, under English-speaking influence. The author attributes this difference to the rejection by the countries of the “former” Françafrique, which inherited the “sad tropisms” of the French Republic, which he considers both “over-administered and under-governed” and marked by “the spirit of Paris”, preferring ideologies to concrete projects. The comparative analysis of the revolutionary speeches of African leaders and the reports of international institutions is enlightening in this respect.The strong presence of international investors – especially French – also maintains a new form of pan-Africanism, which combines an anti-Western attrition and a pro-Russian and Chinese attraction. The author also denounces European “environmentalism” (the “green rage”) which imposes unattainable environmental standards on Africa, favors short circuits and thus deprives Africa of outlets to the Old Continent and of financing projects in favor of the exploitation of African resources. Joel Té-Léssia ASSOKO (Sciences Po Paris and Dauphine) is responsible for the economic pages of Jeune Afrique. Pierre HASKI is president of the Reporters Without Borders movement. J-J. Pluchart

    September 10, 2025 / 0 Comments
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    Madeleine PERON et Wojtek KALINOWSKI, (col), Réindustrialiser, pourquoi faire ? Revue  L’Économie politique n°106, 2025, 110 pages.

    publications

    The REP’s No. 106 issue raises a seemingly provocative question, but in reality, it is fundamental and complex. It consists of nine articles analyzing the many difficulties faced by businesses and governments – including France – in their project to reindustrialize a “country without factories” after three decades of industrial decline.Reindustrialization involves arbitrating between more or less contradictory objectives relating to the competitiveness of factories, security of supply, environmental protection, energy savings, balance between territories, social equity … Arbitrations must first be subject to lengthy administrative procedures, costly information campaigns and more or less democratic debates. The choice of activities to rehabilitate and territories to reindustrialize differ according to the countries of the European Union. National industrial links are part of an international chain of value creation, which limits the options. “Industrial territories” operations must therefore reconcile the imperatives of equitable land use, preserve agricultural land in the name of “land sobriety”, rehabilitate brownfield sites and supervise polluting and/or carbon-emitting industries (Net Zero Artificialization objective). These operations involve aligning public and private interests and adopting more sustainable financing systems. They must also be part of profitable circular economy systems that are both energy and raw material efficient. As an example, the case of the development of the sustainable and affordable electric car is remarkably studied.The dossier also includes an article – whose resonance is particularly current – entitled “the left and economists”, dealing with the confrontation from 1936 to 1938 between the leaders of the Popular Front and the economists Alfred Sauvy and Robert Marjolin, about the 40-hour week. An article on the coordination of the actions of the countries of the European Union in favor of Ukraine, closes the file.The authors are expert teachers and researchers and journalists (members of the Veblen Institute) mainly specialized in industrial economics. Jean-Jacques Pluchart

    September 10, 2025 / 0 Comments
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    Ange Kokou GBETSOGBE, l’Afrique à l’aube d’une nouvelle ère géopolitique, Les éditions CAAF, 2025, 319 pages

    Afrique

    The author maps the convergent and divergent dynamics driving African nation-states, which strive to settle the legacy of colonization, consolidate their access to independence, gain full sovereignty, and influence the balance of power between continents. But their efforts are faced with multiple obstacles, ethnic, economic and geopolitical. Africa is the richest of all continents, both in terms of its raw material resources, its youth, its ethnic groups (more than 2000), its social structures and its cultures. That is why it has always aroused the envy of Western countries and, more recently, of China. Today, it is causing more and more rivalries between these countries. Most African states are trying to free themselves from neo-colonialism, sometimes through violence, to fall back into new forms of dependence, especially from China and Russia, but also from the former colonizing countries. African governments are looking for new types of alliances, cooperation and investment, based on more balanced exchanges. Their priorities are most often the development of education and infrastructure. But still too many states are victims of political instability, precarious institutions, social inequalities, and lack of funding. Like most young African authors today (1), Ange Kokou GBETSOGBE wonders how to ensure more stable, inclusive, and transparent governance, better regional integration, and a stimulating dynamic, especially for young people. Ange Kokou GBETSOGBE is a Legal Consultant, a specialist in public business law, and president of the CAAF, which promotes the development of Africa. Jean-Jacques Puchart (1) See the works reviewed on clubturgot.com

    September 3, 2025 / 0 Comments
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    Régis de LAROULLIERE, En route vers les pénuries. Il y a une alternative, CRAPS, 2025, 285 pages.

    publications

    The author is a “man in a hurry” in the sense of Paul Moran. He practices the art of understatement and prefers numbers to speeches. The clarity of his ideas quickly convinces the reader of the inevitable decline of France, which is falling in most international rankings (it went from 7th to 13th in GDP per capita in just twenty years). After a few pages, the reader knows that he is or will be a victim of multiple shortages, doctors in hospitals and the countryside, teachers in schools, colleges and high schools, police and judges, local traders in rural areas, skilled craftsmen, politicians concerned about the welfare of future generations… Shortages are already affecting some of the necessary resources in the pharmaceutical, digital, automotive value chains… The threat of more or less severe shortages looms over most sectors of activity in a situation of international dependence. The process of decline, measured in particular by the level of external debt, is all the more worrying as it seems to become uncontrollable due to the cumulative effects of its determinants. The author questions the factors that have led France to such a handicap. He attributes it to the aging of its population, its assistantship, its bureaucratization, and its increasingly chaotic political governance. He analyzes the scope of the solutions generally advanced to rectify – at least stabilize – this difficult to control situation. He shows the limits of a reduction in public spending and social assistance, a surtax on the rich and/or retirees. He advocates a form of cultural revolution, based on “additional levers of attraction of work” of a financial, fiscal, social, and cultural nature: better pay and relief of social charges on overtime, simplification of access procedures to work and job mobility, priority given to efficiency over effectiveness, meaning given to work (especially practical) in training courses, promotion of well-being at work, placement of work at the center of personal projects, building models of the artisans of Notre Dame and the organizers of the Olympic Games…The book’s interest is twofold: it highlights the seriousness of the threat of shortages weighing on the French; it shows – if not demonstrates – that there is no other way out than the fulfillment of each French person through work. Régis de LAROULLIERE (Normalian mathematics, associate actuary and ENA graduate) was the director of Crédit Foncier and the Médéric group. He is one of the founders of CRAPS (the social protection think tank). Jean-Jacques Pluchart

    September 3, 2025 / 0 Comments
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    DUTERME R., Pénuries – Quand tout vient à manquer, Payot, 211 pages

    publications

    “The 20th century was the century of abundance. The 21st will be one of limits.” We frequently discuss energy transition, relocalization and sobriety, but partly as if they were simple options. The author leads us to see that these are no longer options, but realities. This book makes this perfectly clear, and not by hyperbole or by trying to scare the reader. It’s not a doomsday story, nor is it about eternal progress. It simply welcomes the fact that we’ve reached the limits. Scarcity is no longer the exception and is now becoming the norm. Oil is at the heart of his analysis. He reminds us of a little-known fact: Energy Returned on Energy Invested (EROEI). From 100:1 at the beginning of the twentieth century, it now stands at 11:1, a figure that threatens our entire equilibrium. Nothing can be done without abundant, cheap energy. Electricity is not a silver bullet, just a vector. It’s a means of transporting energy. The author also mentions minerals and raw materials. We depend disproportionately on scarce resources, often from unstable countries. We use them for everything: telephones, batteries, infrastructure. But if one link breaks, we have no plan B. Freight transport is under pressure worldwide. It has a very low profit margin. One small thing can paralyze an entire production operation. Even industrial agriculture depends on it: fertilizers, machinery, transport… in reality, nothing is autonomous. It’s a system we’ve built ourselves. Over-specialization, globalization and the cult of efficiency have left us unable to cope when things go wrong. We’ve pursued efficiency and forgotten resilience. Renaud Duterme links this to the economic logic handed down by Ricardo and the rise of neoliberalism. The issue is not just technological; it’s a political vision. In the final section, he is less alarmist, but just as serious. He says we’re going to suffer shortages, and the question is really this: do we want to suffer them or be prepared for them? It’s not a question of stopping everything or going backwards. It’s an invitation to reconsider what we make, why and for whom. Relocate where it really counts. To overcome this system of unlimited growth and recognize that this century will have limits – physical and environmental, as well as social. In other words, this is not a technical manual or a political tract. It’s a clear, honest text. It confronts us with reality. It doesn’t try to scare us; it tries to convince us, by giving us the facts, and it succeeds. It’s a book to read not so much for what you can learn from it, but for what you can prepare yourself for. Because, in the future, it won’t just be a question of technologies, but of choices, compromises and even collective thinking. Renaud Duterme holds a degree in development sciences from the Université Libre de Bruxelles, where he also teaches geography. Attentive to questions of inequality and ecology, he is the author of De quoi l’effondrement est-il le nom? (2016, foreword by Pablo Servigne), Petit manuel pour une géographie de combat (2020) and Nos mythologies écologiques (2021). Florence Anglès

    September 3, 2025 / 0 Comments
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    Jean-Charles GALLI et Alexandre STACHTCENKO, Bitcoin, Le choc géopolitique, Armand Colin, 2025, 250 pages.

    publications

    The book raises useful questions about the development of bitcoin, which was designed in 2009 by Satoshe Nakamoto and relaunched in 2025 by the new American presidency. Bitcoin is both a cryptographic asset and an alternative currency under shadow banking. It performs the three functions of an official currency: unit of account, transaction vector, and store of value. The bitcoin system is decentralized and self-managed. It exploits blockchain technology, based on the encapsulation of transactions in blocks whose digital footprint (the hash) in the form of complex probabilistic equations, is verified by mining farms (Proof of Work).The control of the system – which is increasingly used by states, administrations, businesses, and households – now presents strategic challenges for governments, central banks, and commercial banks. Transactions financed by bitcoins are subject to regulation by the Financial Stability Board, the Basel Committee, the Bank for International Settlements, the Financial Action Task Force, at the international level, and the MICA regulation, within the framework of the European Union. Despite this increasingly restrictive framework, since the failure of Facebook’s libra, bitcoin continues to raise questions and concerns among monetary institutions, financial institutions, and the general public. Bitcoin also raises ecological problems, being a consumer of electricity and contributing to global warming.The authors of the book expose the dilemmas faced by governments, some of which (Salvador, Nigeria) have adopted it as an official currency, others (like China) have banned it, and most tolerate its use under certain conditions. The European Central Bank has relegated it to the rank of “pseudo-currency”. It seems that bitcoin is now considered a “safe haven” (the “bitcoin-gold”), a way to circumvent international sanctions (for Russia), an alternative to the dollar (for the BRICS), or “a digital value reserve”.Reading the book requires sustained attention because of its conceptual and technical nature, but it contributes to a better understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of the current international monetary system.Jean-Charles Galli is a teacher-researcher and advisor to start-ups. Alexandre Stachtcenko is a strategy director at Paymium. Jean-Jacques Pluchart

    August 27, 2025 / 0 Comments
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    Agnès VERDIER-MOLINIE, Face au Mur, Editions de l’Observatoire, 193 pages, 2025

    publications

    This well-documented book deals with a highly topical issue for the current economic situation in France. Indeed, it offers many quantified solutions to overcome 5 problematic issues: the walls of debt, deindustrialization, standards, welfare, and insecurity.After a diagnosis of the level of France’s deficit, Ms. Verdier-Molinié immediately confronts us with the significant risks of a drift in the deficit and therefore of the debt, which already exceeds 3,300 billion euros. The discrediting of France for the non-control of its deficit could harm its ability to finance this debt and could even lead to the takeover of public finances by the International Monetary Fund as happened in Greece.To find a positive trajectory and save 110 billion euros by 2029, Ms. Verdier Molinié shares a dozen extremely concrete solutions on each of the 5 themes mentioned above.To reduce the debt, immediate common sense measures are centered around the reduction of public spending through their increased efficiency as well as the elimination of duplicates. A reform of unemployment insurance, as well as a new reform of pensions and the health system, are clearly described as priorities.To get out of the deindustrialization that has largely begun, we find a recommendation strongly pushed by companies in recent years on the reduction of production taxes, which weigh nearly 20 billion euros per year, to improve competitiveness, as well as to take advantage of the significant benefit through abundant and cheap electrical and nuclear energy. She also proposes to severely limit environmental standards, which is obviously less of a consensus in the current context of CSR.Ms. Verdier Molinié also draws up a damning assessment of the Standards often resulting from entry into Europe, which constitute a very significant competitive disadvantage compared to some of our American or Chinese competitors in particular. She proposes to make a diagnosis of the administrative burden on companies, knowing that the already existing indices show a doubling of these standards for companies in recent years, and particularly heavy for SMEs. The recommended solutions are quite classic in style: a standard created, a standard deleted, but also to constitute indices for monitoring normative complexity.The subject of the Assistantship, known to all but rarely quantified, is the subject of an interesting analysis (number of hours actually worked, number of strike days, facial gratuity because there is always a payer behind, consumer or taxpayer). She also insists on the rehabilitation of the value of Work (training to be carried out) and takes a firm position on immigration, which can only be granted in exchange for work.The subject of Insecurity is also documented because Ms. Verdier Molinié, rather expected on the economic subject, makes an assessment of its impact. She tries to quantify the cost of riots and the recidivism of offenders, for example. The proposals she makes range from the effective execution of sentences to the construction of prisons and also, in general, to the cessation of social rights for offenders.This book contains many proposals, sometimes consensual, sometimes less so, with a priority given to the economy and therefore to the treatment of the debt wall and public finances. She believes that political and non-ecological measures are necessary to get out of the current situation by 2029.But often in France, it is not because we have a clear vision of the measures to be taken that the human and political context are now united to put them in place. But this book can be a “building block” for the construction of the future. Agnès VERDIER-MOLINIE is Director of the IFRAP Foundation, a THINK Tank that evaluates public policies. Olivier STEPHAN

    August 27, 2025 / 0 Comments
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    Mathilde VIENNOT, La planification écologique, La découverte (repères), 126 pages.
    September 17, 2025
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    Geoffrey BERTRAND, La Diplomatie Disruptive. Redéfinir les règles du Jeu International, eds GB, 2025, 186 pages.
    September 17, 2025
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