Jean-Luc  BUCHALET,  Equation  taiwanaise. Vers une  troisième guerre mondiale,  Editions Plume libre, 2026, 388 pages.

The multitude  of  regional  conflicts  raging across our planet  (Ukraine,  Iran, Palestine, the Middle  East, the Asia-Pacific region, among others)  is fuelling growing    fears about the  risks  of  globalisation ultimately leading to    the outbreak of a  third world  war. A ‘non-zero’ risk, as experts would say!  However, it  would be too hasty to forget  that the supreme art  of war,  as advocated by   Sun  Tzu, is  to subdue the enemy  without  combat.  The importance of strategy and cunning, of subtle tactics to neutralise the adversary    without engagement, therefore remains the true victory: the ability to neutralise the enemy’s actions without resorting to brute force.   In

 this new publication, Jean-Luc Buchalet, a renowned expert, lecturer  and author of numerous books on economics (winner of the Turgot Special Prize in 2013), draws on  his in-depth knowledge  of  Chinese history  and culture  to  convey a form of subliminal message through a work of fiction with clear family ties. As the pages unfold  , a  highly  complex Chinese reality emerges, intertwined with  that of contrasting personalities    and  great leaders – profoundly human figures, most often  dark and manipulative,  from Mao to Xi.

 Through the intersecting perspectives, the history    and the  testimonies of the extraordinary characters  in this novel,  some of whom are members    of the author’s own family  (his own father-in-law, a veterinarian  who was in charge  of a  region and was imprisoned, and  whose wife, a  soldier and Red Guard, saved his life), we also discover    the harsh reality of China’s modern history.

Under  Xi, digitalisation ‘has  become a tool of mass control, extending the authoritarian legacy  of the Cultural Revolution’. China’s growing rivalry with the United States raises the spectre of a major conflict, particularly   over Taiwan… But the worst is never  over… at least,  we can hope so!

 The plot of  this remarkable novel combines historical  narrative and suspense, offering an intimate immersion into the ‘Chinese soul’. The author’s excellent writing skills play a significant role in this. This is also one of his  great strengths  , which readers will particularly appreciate.

Jean-Luc Buchalet: agricultural engineer and economist – lecturer at the Sorbonne and at IAE Paris, speaker, columnist, author of numerous books and leading specialist on China

 Jean-Luc  CHAMBON