This new publication by President Hubert RODARIE, an author who has been recognized and crowned many times, confirms his ability to challenge his readers (who willingly lend themselves to it) by inviting them to leave their comfort zone for an original reading of the major trends and other ruptures in the world.
To look beyond the foam of the waves, to understand the underlying undertones that are at work in the upheavals of the planet. … One year after his return, President TRUMP is raising many questions by trying to brutally reshape international relations according to his vision of the new world, accompanying his diatribes with threats, potential recourse to force, establishing punitive customs duties and the unpredictability of his reversals of alliances.
Also, many see in this character nothing more than a revolutionary troublemaker undermining the consensus and the post-war world order, arousing contempt with his vulgarity and his extraordinary vanity: “.. strong with the weak and weak (deflated for some!!..) with the strong..”. Without fear of going against the tide, the author uses his expertise as a senior leader, backed by the scientific rigor of the engineer (which is also his trademark), with an impressive and documented knowledge of the History of the United States, to “try to understand the present and future motivations not only of the United States, but, symmetrically, of the European leaders and strategy.” In the first part, the author uses a historical analogy by examining the parallels to the political and social plans between the Athens of the 5th century BC, that of Pericles and the “Golden Age”, and the United States of the 21st century. There are many similarities between Trump and Pericles: they both rely directly on the people, consider their strategies of alliances and empires in the same approach, are supported by powerful real wealth (money, oil), with the same ability to mobilise the popular electorate beyond the “deep state” … “Them against us …” and finally a certain caution vis-à-vis wars to consolidate the support of the people. However, if the success of this first year of TRUMP’s return is quite flamboyant, as evidenced by the Wall Street party, the wait-and-see attitude is flagrant on the side of companies, and the American threat continues to weigh on the future of world GDP, without forgetting the end of the story for Athens, with the reminder of the “Thucydite trap”. However, “This framework makes it possible to understand the structuring dynamics of the United States as well as the logic underlying the actions of the Trump Administration.” The second part highlights: “the key issues, in particular the relations between the elites and the people, as well as the role of politics in the economic system and vis-à-vis the Central Banks in the US and in EUROPE.” In this context, the author develops his very well-argued vision (and produced in his previous works) of the independence and sovereignty of the Central Banks, or of the “symbol of inaction: Debt”, and the discrepancy between speeches and situations. Faced with the change in cooperation between China and the United States, the author’s conviction remains that “Europe must imperatively reaffirm the primacy of politics, by and for the citizen. This is the great existential challenge that can only be met by reinventing itself in depth. A particularly valuable publication for all audiences and for those who seek to predict the winners and losers of “Trumponomics”.
Jean-louis CHAMBON Founding President of the cercle TURGOT ,Hubert RODARIE is President of AF2i, Vice President of ARGAN – former Managing Director of an insurance group. He regularly contributes to the economic and scientific press. Author of four particularly notable books, and winner of the Turgot-DFCG Prize in 2016.